On 30 May, ICICI Bank released its earnings for the third quarter of the fiscal year 2024‑25. Net profit slipped 4 % to ₹11,318 crore, falling short of the ₹11,720 crore reported in the same period a year earlier. The news sent the bank’s shares tumbling by more than 3 % in early trading, reflecting investor unease over a slowdown in the bank’s growth trajectory.
The bank’s revenue for Q3 rose 9.9 % year‑on‑year to ₹30,219 crore, driven mainly by higher interest income and a modest uptick in fee earnings. However, operating expenses climbed 5 % to ₹15,845 crore, narrowing the profit margin. Net interest income, the core of the bank’s earnings, increased by 7.5 % to ₹18,542 crore, but the rise was partially offset by a 4.8 % jump in provisions for bad loans.
Credit quality remained a concern, as the bank recorded a 3.2 % rise in non‑performing assets (NPAs) to ₹2,112 crore. This increase pushed the provisions charge higher and reduced the effective return on assets. Meanwhile, the loan portfolio grew by 5.9 % to ₹2,310 crore, reflecting steady demand in retail and corporate segments, but the growth pace was lower than the 7.5 % seen in Q2.
The dip can be traced to a confluence of factors that are shaping the banking landscape in India. First, the slowdown in the real economy has tightened corporate borrowing. Many firms are holding back on large‑scale projects, which dampens the bank’s loan growth momentum. Second, a modest rise in the cost of funds has squeezed the net interest margin. The Reserve Bank’s policy rate adjustments and the cost of wholesale funding have pushed the bank’s borrowing costs higher.
Credit risk has also played a role. The recent uptick in NPAs reflects the lingering impact of sector‑specific distress, particularly in the real estate and infrastructure domains. As a result, ICICI Bank increased its provisioning, which directly hit net profit. Finally, higher operating expenses, driven by staff costs and technology investments, have added to the pressure on earnings.
Following the earnings announcement, ICICI Bank’s shares opened at ₹1,020, down 3.4 % against the previous close. The stock finished the session at ₹995, marking a 5.1 % decline from the prior day’s close. Analysts noted that the market is sensitive to any sign of slowing growth, especially in a sector where margins are already under strain.
“The 4 % dip in profit is a warning sign for investors. The bank’s earnings are still healthy, but the slowdown in loan growth and rising provisions could continue to weigh on profitability,” says Rajesh Kumar, senior equity analyst at Axis Securities.
Most analysts have maintained a “buy” rating but have adjusted their price targets modestly. For instance, HDFC Bank’s research team lowered its target price by 4 % after the earnings report, citing the risk of a prolonged slowdown in the lending cycle. Conversely, some investors view the dip as a temporary blip, pointing to ICICI’s strong balance sheet and diversified product mix.
The bank’s debt rating remains stable, with agencies citing its solid capital base and robust risk management framework. However, the slight dip in profitability has prompted a closer look at the bank’s cost control initiatives and its strategy to counter rising NPAs.
For retail customers, the immediate effect of the earnings dip is minimal. Interest rates on deposits remain competitive, and the bank continues to offer attractive loan rates for home, auto, and personal finance. The bank’s digital banking platform, which has seen a 12 % rise in active users, continues to roll out new features aimed at improving customer experience.
Corporate clients might notice a slightly tighter credit appetite, especially for large infrastructure projects. The bank’s credit risk appetite has been calibrated to ensure that it does not over‑expose itself to sectors that have shown volatility in recent quarters. This approach, while prudent, may translate into more rigorous underwriting standards for new loan applications.
Looking ahead to Q4, ICICI Bank has outlined a strategy focused on cost optimisation and digital expansion. The bank aims to reduce operating expenses by 3 % through automation and process efficiencies. At the same time, it plans to accelerate its digital lending pipeline, targeting a 15 % increase in online loan approvals by year‑end.
The bank’s management has expressed confidence that the macro‑economic environment will gradually improve. With the government’s infrastructure push and the fiscal stimulus, borrowing demand is expected to pick up in the coming months. This optimism is reflected in the bank’s forward guidance, which projects a modest 2 % rise in net interest income for Q4.
Risk management remains a priority. ICICI Bank is enhancing its stress‑testing framework to better anticipate sector‑specific shocks. The bank’s capital adequacy ratio, which stood at 16.8 % at the end of Q3, provides a healthy buffer against potential credit losses.
ICICI Bank’s Q3 earnings, while showing a 4 % dip, still reflect a solid financial position. The bank’s revenue growth, strong capital base, and ongoing digital initiatives provide a foundation for future resilience. Investors should monitor the bank’s cost‑control measures and credit risk management, while customers can expect continued focus on product innovation and service quality.
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